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Treasury Management

10 ways to optimise your cash forecasting

July 10, 2024

In the business world, effective financial management is critical to the success and sustainability of any organisation. An essential part of this management is cash forecasting, a process that allows companies to forecast their future cash flows. 

In this article, we will explore 10 effective ways to optimise your cash forecasting, ensuring more accurate and reliable financial planning.

What is cash forecasting?

Cash forecasts are a kind of financial roadmap that companies use to anticipate how much liquidity they will have in the future. These projections include estimates of how much money will come into the company (cash inflows) and how much will go out (cash outflows) in a given period, such as a month, a quarter or a year. 

In conducting these cash forecasts, it is crucial to consider both accounts receivable and accounts payable, focusing on those with specific due dates. In addition, it is important to include all planned cash outflows, such as payroll, tax and National Insurance payments. Other cash inflows, such as bank loans or grants, should also be considered.

These forecasts allow business leaders to understand how much money is expected to flow in and out of the company in a future period. This information is not only essential to ensure that sufficient cash is available to cover day-to-day operations, but also to plan investments, manage debt and prevent liquidity problems.

How to optimise your cash forecasting? 10 tips

As with all other business and financial considerations, cash forecasting is generally a complex process, as it is influenced by many variables.

Fortunately, there are a few tips that any treasurer can apply now to optimise their cash forecasting. Here are the 10 most important ones.

1. Analyse historical data

The first step to optimising your projections is to carefully analyse your company's historical and financial data. This retrospective review provides patterns and trends that are critical to formulating accurate projections. 

Using advanced analytical tools and statistical techniques, such as regression analysis and predictive modelling, reveals valuable insights that might otherwise go unnoticed by management.

2. Manage your receivables and payables efficiently

Accounts receivable and accounts payable are the two most important elements of accurate cash forecasting. In essence, they are the trade debts that our company owes to suppliers and that our customers owe us for deferred payment of invoices. Nevertheless, they are not always adequately reported, and this can have a negative impact.

If invoices do not arrive on due dates, it becomes unclear when the invoice amount will be received. In addition, it is important that invoices are clear and error-free, and that it is not too late for an invoice to be acted upon. Follow up regularly on outstanding payments to avoid future problems.

3. Collaborate across departments 

Cash forecasting is not just a task for the finance department. It requires active collaboration between all agents and workers within the company. 

For example, the sales team provides information on market trends and revenue expectations, while the purchasing department may have data on future expenses and the tax team may provide relevant information on upcoming tax assessments.

This cross-departmental communication ensures that all relevant variables are considered within these forecasts. It also ensures that they are always up to date.

4. Adequately monitor market conditions

Market conditions can change rapidly, significantly affecting  cash forecasting. A change in interest rates makes debt more expensive, while a tax increase reduces sales.

Staying on top of key economic indicators, such as interest rates, inflation rates and market movements, is critical. Adjusting your projections based on these indicators can help anticipate and mitigate the impacts of market changes on the financial health of your business.

5. Efficient inventory management

Efficient inventory management plays a key role in optimising a company's treasury. A well-managed inventory ensures that capital is not unnecessarily tied up in stock, while also preventing shortages that could lead to lost sales. 

To optimise this important aspect of business performance, it is important to understand the demand patterns for your products and services, including seasonal variability. This allows you to anticipate when you will need more or less stock and resources, thus optimising purchasing and production.

6. Continuous employee training

Continuous training and development of the finance team is essential to maintain and improve efficiency and accuracy in the management of corporate finances. A well-trained team is better equipped to meet financial challenges, adapt to market changes and effectively use new technologies and methods. 

Training can range from basic accounting and finance concepts to sophisticated use of a treasury solution and financial risk analysis. Investing in professional training programmes and specific workshops, as well as access to online courses and conferences, can provide staff with the skills and knowledge necessary to effectively manage the company's finances.

7. Efficient working capital management

Effective working capital management is an important aspect of improving cash forecasting, as it focuses on optimising the management of cash, inventories, receivables and payables. By managing these components efficiently, a company can ensure adequate liquidity and greater financial stability, resulting in better cash forecasts.

The objective is to maintain a balance that allows the company to have enough cash available to meet its daily operations, such as payroll or tax payments, but without tying up too much capital in non-productive assets. 

8. Tax planning

Efficient tax planning is essential to optimise a company's cash forecasting. Tax planning involves understanding and implementing tax strategies that help minimise the tax burden in a legal manner, while ensuring compliance with all tax obligations. 

By taking advantage of available deductions, exemptions and tax credits, a company can significantly reduce its tax liability, which in turn frees up more capital to reinvest in the business or to hold as a cash reserve. In addition, knowing in advance what the next settlement will be reduces uncertainty around cash projections.

9. Automating payments

Implementing automated payment systems significantly reduces the possibility of human error, which can arise from manual data entry or the tracking of multiple installments. This can lead to problems such as duplicate payments, late payments resulting in late payment charges, or even the deterioration of supplier relationships.

Payment automation helps eliminate these risks by ensuring that payments are processed in a timely and accurate manner. In addition, the consistency provided by automation allows for better planning and forecasting of cash flows, as outgoing payments can be relied upon to be handled as scheduled. All of this helps to eliminate uncertainty around cash forecasting.

10. Implementing a treasury solution

Treasury management platforms, such as Embat, in addition to having an intuitive and attractive interface, offer automated tools and advanced analytics to improve the accuracy and efficiency of your financial projections. At a glance, finance managers can see their future cash forecasts, supported by graphs and visuals that help improve understanding.

Moreover, it enables repetitive tasks to be automated and data to be available in real time. This ensures that decisions are based on the most up-to-date information, which is essential for effective planning. And, best of all, with customisation that adapts to changing business needs.

Conclusions

Ultimately, the goal of optimising cash forecasting goes beyond managing numbers and data; it is about fostering a strong financial culture that supports sustained growth and business stability. 

With dedication and a strategic approach, any company can improve its cash forecasting, ensuring a brighter and more secure financial future.

Toni
Berga
Co-CEO & Co-Founder @ Embat
Toni worked for over a decade at J.P. Morgan in Spain and the UK as the Executive Director of Investment Banking and Commercial Banking for family businesses before co-founding Embat.

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